Mullings: An American Cyber-column by Rich Galen

    Text of Chief U.N. Inspector's Letter

    The following is the text of a letter from chief U.N. arms inspector Hans Blix to Iraqi General Amer al-Saadi, ordering the destruction of Iraqi missiles. (UNSCOM is the acronym for U.N. Special Commission, the previous inspection regime.)

    Dear Dr. al-Saadi,

    During our latest discussions in Baghdad, on 9 and 10 February 2003, I informed you that a panel of international experts would be convened in New York to conduct a technical assessment of the range capabilities of Al Samoud 2 and Al Fatah missile systems. The assessment was also to include the refurbished casting chambers associated with the proscribed Badr-2000 missiles that had been destroyed under UNSCOM supervision, as well as the capability of the test stand under construction at the Al Rafah Liquid Engine Test Facility.

    The panel, which met on February 10 and 11, consisted of experts nominated by the governments of China, France, Germany, Ukraine, United Kingdom and the United States. The Russian expert nominated was unable to attend.

    UNMOVIC experts provided the panel with background information on the relevant aspects of Iraq's missile program and infrastructure. The panel was also advised that, in 1994, UNSCOM had informed Iraq that any increase: of diameter in the design of the Ababil -1OO liquid engine missile (subsequently renamed as Al Samoud) exceeding 600 millimeters was not permitted. The panel was further informed that UNMOVIC had advised Iraq, in December 2002, to cease all flight tests of the Al Samoud 2 which has a diameter of 760 millimeters, until UNMOVIC completed its technical assessment.

    The panel also used in its assessment the information presented by Iraq to UNMOVIC experts in Baghdad on January 26 and February 10, as well as the results of four separate computer simulations of the ranges of the Al Samoud 2 and Al Fatah missiles. These simulations were conducted by experts from four different countries using the data declared by Iraq.

    The panel was unanimous in its assessment in reaching the attached conclusions. These conclusions were presented to UNMOVIC's College of Commissioners on February 13. On the basis of the panel's conclusions on the Al Samoud 2, which do not call for further clarification or testing. I reported, on February 14, to the Security Council that two declared variants of the Al Samoud 2 missile system were capable of exceeding 150 kilometers in range, and were therefore proscribed pursuant to resolution 687 (1991) and the monitoring plan adopted by solution 715 (1991).

    Accordingly, the government of Iraq should present to UNMOVIC for verifiable destruction all Al Samoud 2 missiles and associated items, as follows:

    1. All Al. Samoud 2 missies and warheads, whether deployed, assembled or partly assembled;

    2. Fuel and oxidizer, where deployed with Al Samoud missiles;

    3. The SA-2 missile engines imported outside of the export/import mechanism and in contravention of paragraph 24 of resolution 687 (1991), which have been configured for use in the Al Samoud 2, are in the process of being so configured, or are otherwise associated with the Al Samoud 2 missile program;

    4. All engine components acquired for the modification of the SA-2 engine for use with the Al Samoud 2 system, such as thrust regulators, gas generators and air pressure regulators;

    5. All SA-2 autopilots and other guidance and control items, such as gyroscopes, accelerometers, inertial equipment and software imported or developed for use with the Al Samoud 2 system;

    6. With respect to launchers, all parts of the launching mechanism that are designed for use with the Al Samoud 2 system. The basic platforms of the vehicles need not be destroyed, but will be tagged and their future use monitored;

    7. Those components specific to the Al Samoud 2, which are incorporated in the logistic support vehicles, such as fuel, oxidizer and control vehicles required for the operation of the Al Samoud 2 missile force;

    8. Equipment and components designed for the production and testing of the Al Samoud 2 missile; and

    9. All software and documentation concerning conception, research and development, production and quality control related to the Al Samoud 2 missile program.

    With respect to the casting chambers that had been deemed proscribed and were destroyed under UNSCOM supervision, the panel confirmed that the reconstituted casting chambers could still be used to produce motors for missiles capable of ranges significantly greater than 150 kilometers, Accordingly, these chambers remain proscribed and are to be destroyed.

    The panel found that clarification of Al Fatah missile data supplied by Iraq was required before the capability of the missile system could be assessed. UNMOVIC will request such clarification.

    The panel also assessed that the AJ Rajah static test stand, under construction would be capable of testing missile engines with thrusts greater than that of the SA-2 engine. The test stand will be monitored.

    The necessary destruction is to be carried out by Iraq under UNMOVIC guidance and supervision. UNMOVIC will select from a variety of methods of destruction, depending on the items to be destroyed, such as explosive demolition, crushing, melting and other physical and chemical methods.

    The appropriate arrangements should be made so that the destruction process can commence by March 1, 2003.

    Your sincerely,

    Hans Blix


    Copyright 2003 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.