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The definition of the word mull.
Mullings by Rich Galen
An American Cyber-Column By Rich Galen
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Time to Cut Loose

Rich Galen

Tuesday August 4, 2020

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  • We are 91 days out from election day on November 3. Days left before an election are like minutes left on your cell phone battery: The fewer there are the faster they seem to go.

  • We won't go into the dreadful position Donald Trump's campaign finds itself. Suffice it to say Trump is trailing Joe Biden in the national polls, and in most of the battleground state polls. Not only that, but states like Texas are way closer than they should be.

  • What we are going to discuss in class today (masks on, socially distanced) is what is going on with the campaign committees and with the campaigns for the House and Senate.

  • There are more than two national political committees: In addition to the Republican and Democratic National Committees, there are committees focused on elected Republican or Democratic Members of the U.S. House, the U.S. Senate, Governors, and state Attorneys General.

  • At this point in the cycle each of those committees are meeting with their leadership and the staff to determine which campaigns they can afford to keep funding and which they have to cut loose.

  • There is never enough money to fully fund every campaign and this political triage has to be performed.

  • The day this meeting takes place is torture.

  • The political staffs have been with these campaigns since they convinced a perfectly happy person to run for the office. They've helped them do everything from finding office space, to putting together a finance operation, to hiring the staff.

  • They've done what ever field staffer has vowed never to do again: Fall in love with a campaign.

  • And now, they've got to get on the phone and tell that campaign they're being cut adrift. What they're really saying is: We have determined you have no chance to win and you've wasted two years of your life, as well as the lives of your spouse, your family, your friends, and your supporters.

  • Sorry. Bye.

  • District-by-district, state-by-state, office-by-office the national committees cull the herd to better focus their resources for the final sprint.

  • Some years - I believe this is one of them - one or more of the committees have to cut their candidate for President loose.

  • In 1996 President Bill Clinton was running for re-election against Senator Bob Dole. There was nothing not to like about Bob Dole. Except it was clear he had no chance against Clinton. Ross Perot was in the race as well and got about eight percent of the votes, but he wasn't our problem.

  • The GOP had just taken control of the U.S. House two years previous in the Gingrich Revolution and we were very concerned that a Clinton landslide would provide long enough coattails for the Democrats to regain a majority.

  • We devised a series of three ads for Republican Congressional candidates to use, the third of which was: "Don't give Bill Clinton a blank check" by giving the Ds control of the House.

  • This was political hyperbole because Republicans controlled the U.S. Senate as well and, in the end picked up two seats to increase their majority to 55-45 in spite of an easy Clinton victory.

  • In 2020, the non-Presidential focus is on the U.S. Senate. The House campaign committees are pretending they are in a fight to the finish, but with a 32-seat Dem majority, there is almost no chance that the Rs can take control.

  • However, the GOP's majority, 53-47, in the Senate is up for grabs. And there is a growing - or sinking - feeling that the Senate races are too closely tied to the fortunes of the Presidential race and a Biden landslide will drag enough Democratic U.S. Senate candidates across the line to win the net three seats necessary to take control (with the D Vice President breaking ties).

  • I am not for this. In that position I stand alone in my family, but I believe one-party control in Washington is absolute power which, to quote Lord Acton among others, "corrupts absolutely."

  • The Republican Senate campaign committee is, however covertly, looking for ways to have their most vulnerable incumbents distance themselves from the President without making too big a deal of it.

  • Although the data have grown whiskers, the Pew Research Center, in a 2014 study, estimated that about eight-in-ten likely voters would vote a straight-party ticket that fall.

  • That was a mid-term election, and the gravitational pull of a Presidential election at the top of the ticket will only strengthen that straight-ticket likelihood. But, unless Trump can reverse the current polling, the Republican Senate campaign committee will have to help their candidates break free of him.

  • As someone once said: Politics ain't beanbag.

  • On the Secret Decoder Ring page today: Links to the 1996 election and to that Pew study on ticket-splitters.

    The Mullfoto today: During and after Hurricane Isaias, lookin' out my back door.

    --END --


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    All Rights Reserved





August 2020

08/04/20 - Time to Cut Loose


July 2020

07/23/20 - Opening Day - 2020
07/22/20 - Line of Duty, Yes
07/18/20 - Haley Mary Pass
07/13/20 - My Money's on Dr, Fauci
07/03/20 - Happy Birthday, America


June 2020

06/31/20 - What Does He Know NOW?
06/26/20 - What a Week
06/19/20 - You, Sir
06/15/20 - Early Polling
06/12/20 - Separation Exhaustion
06/08/20 - Which Side Are You On?
06/01/20 - Kent State


May 2020

05/28/20 - 100,000
05/25/20 - Memorial Day - 2020
05/22/20 - Hydroxychlo - whatever
05/18/20 - The Circumstances of No Pomp
05/12/20 - Absolute Power Corrupts ...
05/05/20 - The Rise of Reed Galvin
05/01/20 - Get Used to It


April 2020

04/27/20 - Dying for a Haircut
04/24/20 - Shine a Light at the Night
04/21/20 - Ain't We Got Fun
04/17/20 - Re-Opening
04/13/20 - Cheerleader-in-Chief
04/09/20 - Biden vs Trump
04/06/20 - It Only Works When it Doesn't Matter


March 2020

03/30/20 - I'm Sailin' Right Behind
03/26/20 - 3.28 Million
03/23/20 - OK, Boomer
03/18/20 - Bye, Bye, Bernie
03/16/20 - Virus/Debate
03/12/20 - Bernie, Bernie, Bernie
03/09/20 - Coronavirus
03/04/20 - Super Tuesday
03/01/20 - Biden Wins Big


February 2020

02/26/20 - Debate #10
02/24/20 - Bernie!
02/20/20 - Debate #9 - Pregame
02/17/20 - Next Up: Nevada
02/10/20 - The Political Coriolis Effect
02/5/20 - Iowa, a State of the Union
02/3/20 - Big, BIG Week


January 2020

01/27/20 - Impeachment Trial - Day 5
01/24/20 - Impeachment Trial - Day 3
01/22/20 - Impeachment Trial - Day 1
01/16/20 - No Heat, No Light, No Debates
01/13/20 - Off the Ledge
01/09/20 - Off the Ledge
01/06/20 - Hard Questions; No Easy Answers
01/02/20 - Finally, the Election Year


December 2019

12/30/19 - Fifty Years Ago
12/25/19 - Christmas 2019 - Six Words
12/19/19 - Walk Time
12/16/19 - When You're a Jet You're a Jet all the Way
12/12/19 - Impeachment Moves Ahead
12/09/19 - Bulldozers and Airplanes
12/05/19 - Impeachment (Ver. 1,205,736)
12/02/19 - How Many More Democrats?
November 2019

11/21/19 - Political Ambassadors
11/18/19 - Impeachable? Maybe
                 Ugly? Absolutely

11/14/19 - And So it Begins
11/07/19 - Is Past, Prologue?
11/04/19 - One Year to Go


October 2019

10/31/19 - A Reason to Celebrate
10/21/19 - Doral
10/17/19 - Pennant
10/14/19 - Meanwhile, the Dems
10/09/19 - It's Government, but is it Good Government?
10/04/19 - Slow Down, You're Movin' Too Fast
10/01/19 - 2019 Subscription Drive


September 2019

9/30/19 - Main Event
9/26/19 - Impeachment - I
9/23/19 - Bullying Ukraine
9/16/19 - Iranian Drones
9/13/19 - Democratic Debate - III
9/12/19 - Boone
9/09/19 - NOT a Sharpie Column
9/03/19 - Aaaaand ... They're Off!


August 2019

8/29/19 - Back to School - 2019
8/26/19 - G7
8/22/19 - Rooting for Recession?
8/15/19 - Campaigning in Iowa - I
8/12/19 - Jeffrey Epstein is Dead
8/08/19 - It's Not All Trump's Fault
8/05/19 - Running with Trump
8/01/19 - The Democrats' Debate II


July 2019

7/29/19 - The Debate Effect
7/25/19 - The Mueller Hearings
7/22/19 - A Brief History of Technology
7/18/19 - Tranquility Base Here
7/15/19 - The Socialist Envelope
7/11/19 - Acosta
7/8/19 - Good Vibrations
7/4/19 - Happy Birthday, America
7/1/19 - Busy Times


June 2019

6/28/19 - The Democrats' Debate II
6/27/19 - Debates: High-Risk, Low-Reward
6/24/19 - Democrats' Dismay
6/20/19 - Crocodile Tears
6/17/19 - Deter, Safeguard, or Defend
6/10/19 - Military Service Fantasies
6/6/19 - Overlord
6/3/19 - California Dreamin'


May 2019

5/30/19 - Mueller Speaks
5/27/19 - Memorial Day - 2019
5/23/19 - A Clowder of Cats
5/20/19 - Spahn & Sain and Pray for Rain
5/16/19 - Then There Were 23
5/13/19 - Biden Widens His Lead
5/9/19 - That "I" Word Again
5/2/19 - Dems One - Barr None


April 2019

4/29/19 - Devotion to Socialism or Wanting to Win
4/25/19 - Requests, Demands, & Subpoenas
4/22/19 - Get Off the Impeachment Train
4/18/19 - Hung Jury
4/15/19 - Senior Citizenship
4/11/19 - Dis-Barred
4/8/19 - Kirstjen Nielsen: You're Fired
4/1/19 - April ... Ah, You Know


March 2019

3/28/19 - Opening Day 2019
3/25/19 - That's Over. Nothing's Changed.
3/21/19 - Why?
3/18/19 - Those Iowa Caucuses
3/14/19 - Cheating
3/11/19 - Democrats and Socialism
3/7/19 - Gone Fishing
3/4/19 - Just Walk Away, Don J.


February 2019

2/28/19 - Michael Cohen Speaks
2/25/19 - Managing Expectations
2/21/19 - The Mueller Report (1)
2/18/19 - Presidents I have Known
2/14/19 - Enough, Already, with the Wall
2/11/19 - Gals-Gals-Gals
2/6/19 - SOTU - 2019
2/4/19 - Blackface


January 2019

1/31/19 - Disrupter
1/28/19 - It Ain't Over
1/24/19 - Polling the Shutdown
1/21/19 - The Shutdown Offer
1/17/19 - The Fixer Fixed the Polls
1/14/19 - Pelosi Can't Afford a Wall
1/9/19 - Nine Minutes
1/7/19 - Relevance
1/3/19 - Shutdown


December 2018

12/27/18 - Trump in Iraq - 90 Points
12/24/18 - Christmas 2018 - Six Words
12/20/18 - The "I" Word - II
12/17/18 - The Nay-C-A
12/13/18 - The "I" Word
12/10/18 - Close, but No Cigar
12/6/18 - A State Funeral
12/3/18 - H.W.


November 2018

11/29/18 - The Election of 2018 is Over
11/22/18 - Thanksgiving 2018 - Rainbow Shiny
11/19/18 - January 3
11/16/18 - I was Right, This Time
11/12/18 - The War to End All ...
11/08/18 - Elections? What Elections.
11/05/18 - And ... Down the Stretch They Come
11/01/18 - Steve King


October 2018

10/29/18 - On Being Jewish
10/25/18 - Simultaneous Bombs
10/22/18 - Permanent Final Week
10/18/18 - Oil Without Saudi
10/15/18 - 45750
10/8/18 - Moderates?
10/4/18 - That Blue Tsunami
10/2/18 - End Game
10/1/18 - The 2018 Subscription Drive


September 2018

9/28/18 - The Kavanaugh/Ford Hearing
9/24/18 - Supreme Court
9/20/18 - Razor's Edge
9/17/18 - Statute of Limitations
9/13/18 - A Poll Dump
9/10/18 - Whodunit?
9/6/18 - Senate Judiciary Hearings
9/3/18 - Back to School - 2018


August 2018

8/30/18 - Monkey Around
8/27/18 - We Make History
8/23/18 - The I-Word
8/20/18 - Zero Shades of Grey
8/16/18 - 82 Days & Counting
8/13/18 - Stiffing a SCIF
8/9/18 - Ohio-12
8/6/18 - A Tweet Storm
8/2/18 - Audiences, Crowds, and Mobs


July 2018

7/30/18 - Good Numbers, Bad Numbers
7/26/18 - Putin isn't Coming
7/23/18 - Trump's Brove Affairs
7/19/18 - The ServPro President
7/16/18 - CNN is Not an Enemy of the People
7/12/18 - America's Resting Face
7/9/18 - SCOTUS Pick
7/4/18 - Happy Birthday, America
7/2/18 - Ghostbusters


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